Bitcoin price Above/below

Crypto · KXBTCD · 150 markets · 123 live · $2.0M traded

Implied probability by strike

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢$70,000$80,800$91,600KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T73099.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T79899.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T81999.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82499.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82599.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82699.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82799.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82899.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82999.99: 70¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83099.99: 4¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T84899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T84999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85599.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85699.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85799.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86599.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86699.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86799.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87599.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87699.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87799.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88599.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88699.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88799.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89599.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89699.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89799.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90599.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90699.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90799.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90899.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90999.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91099.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91199.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91299.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91399.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91499.99: 0¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91599.99: 0¢closes 2026-10-10T20:00:00ZKXBTCD-26OCT1017-T82249.99: 100¢KXBTCD-26OCT1017-T82499.99: 98¢KXBTCD-26OCT1017-T82749.99: 98¢KXBTCD-26OCT1017-T82999.99: 58¢KXBTCD-26OCT1017-T83249.99: 6¢KXBTCD-26OCT1017-T83499.99: 2¢closes 2026-10-10T21:00:00ZKXBTCD-26OCT1617-T69999.99: 98¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T72999.99: 98¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T73499.99: 98¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T74999.99: 97¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T75499.99: 98¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T75999.99: 96¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T76499.99: 96¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T76999.99: 96¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T77499.99: 94¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T77999.99: 94¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T78499.99: 92¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T78999.99: 90¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T79499.99: 86¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T79999.99: 84¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T80499.99: 80¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T80999.99: 76¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T81499.99: 70¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T81999.99: 64¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T82499.99: 58¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T82999.99: 52¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T83499.99: 46¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T83999.99: 38¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T84499.99: 32¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T84999.99: 26¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T85499.99: 22¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T85999.99: 18¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T86499.99: 14¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T86999.99: 12¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T87499.99: 10¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T87999.99: 6¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T88499.99: 6¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T88999.99: 4¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T89499.99: 4¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T89999.99: 3¢KXBTCD-26OCT1617-T90499.99: 3¢closes 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z
shaded band: lognormal-cdf/v1 posterior, 95% credible — median $49,334, fitted 59s ago in 4.9s

Model minus market — where the fit disagrees

-114.4¢+0.0¢+114.4¢KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T73099.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T79899.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T81999.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82499.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82599.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82699.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82799.99: market 99.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -99.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82899.99: market 98.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -98.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T82999.99: market 69.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -69.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83099.99: market 3.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -3.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T83999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T84899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T84999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85699.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85799.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T85999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86699.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86799.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T86999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87699.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87799.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T87999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88699.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88799.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T88999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89699.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89799.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T89999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90699.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90799.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90899.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T90999.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91099.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91199.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91299.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91399.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91499.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)KXBTCD-26OCT1016-T91599.99: market 0.5¢, model 0.0¢, edge -0.50¢ (P=1.00)$73,100$82,350$91,600green: model above market · opacity = posterior confidence

Busiest 25 of 150

MarketClosesBidAskLastVolumeUpdated
$82,800 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢49.4k2026-10-10T19:48:52Z
$82,900 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢236.9k2026-10-10T19:48:52Z
$83,000 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 69¢70¢69¢580.3k2026-10-10T19:48:58Z
$83,100 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 3¢4¢3¢341.4k2026-10-10T19:48:58Z
$83,200 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 0¢1¢1¢56.5k2026-10-10T19:48:11Z
$81,000 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 99¢100¢98¢18.1k2026-10-10T18:06:08Z
$81,500 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢70.8k2026-10-10T17:36:27Z
$81,750 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢141.3k2026-10-10T17:36:27Z
$82,000 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢130.0k2026-10-10T19:01:03Z
$82,250 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢146.0k2026-10-10T19:47:27Z
$82,500 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 98¢99¢98¢301.9k2026-10-10T19:46:37Z
$82,750 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 97¢98¢98¢366.6k2026-10-10T19:48:49Z
$83,000 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 57¢59¢59¢546.4k2026-10-10T19:48:55Z
$83,250 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 4¢7¢7¢193.3k2026-10-10T19:48:11Z
$83,500 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 1¢3¢3¢230.2k2026-10-10T19:48:50Z
$83,750 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 0¢1¢1¢75.9k2026-10-10T19:18:13Z
$84,000 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 0¢1¢1¢105.6k2026-10-10T19:35:42Z
$79,000 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 89¢90¢90¢28.7k2026-10-10T19:47:43Z
$80,000 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 83¢84¢83¢54.9k2026-10-10T19:48:18Z
$81,000 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 75¢76¢75¢26.4k2026-10-10T19:47:18Z
$81,500 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 70¢71¢70¢22.2k2026-10-10T19:48:58Z
$82,000 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 64¢65¢65¢49.4k2026-10-10T19:48:57Z
$83,000 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 51¢52¢52¢15.5k2026-10-10T19:48:58Z
$84,500 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 31¢32¢33¢17.3k2026-10-10T19:48:00Z
$87,500 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 9¢10¢9¢35.4k2026-10-10T19:48:49Z

Series, events, markets

Kalshi nests three levels, and the middle one is easy to miss. Here it is in the series on this page.
KXBTCDseriesthe recurring question — "Bitcoin price Above/below". Has a title and a category, never settles.
KXBTCD-26OCT1016eventone occurrence of it: a single expiration, this one closing 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z.
…-T82999.99marketone binary contract inside that event — "$83,000 or above". Only markets have a bid, an ask, a book and a settlement.
KXBTCD is tracking 3 events averaging 50 markets each: a strike ladder per expiration. This dashboard subscribes per series, so a page can span several expirations at once — which is why every row shows its close time.