Ethereum price Above/below

Crypto · KXETHD · 150 markets · 32 live · $111k traded

Implied probability by strike

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢$2,220$2,475$2,730KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2409.99: 99¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2414.99: 99¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2474.99: 100¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2499.99: 100¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2504.99: 99¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2509.99: 88¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2514.99: 8¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2519.99: 0¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2524.99: 1¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2534.99: 0¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2699.99: 26¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2704.99: 28¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2709.99: 26¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2714.99: 26¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2719.99: 26¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2724.99: 26¢KXETHD-26OCT1016-T2729.99: 26¢closes 2026-10-10T20:00:00ZKXETHD-26OCT1017-T2499.99: 96¢KXETHD-26OCT1017-T2539.99: 3¢KXETHD-26OCT1017-T2579.99: 2¢closes 2026-10-10T21:00:00ZKXETHD-26OCT1617-T2219.99: 97¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2299.99: 94¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2339.99: 90¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2379.99: 86¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2419.99: 76¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2459.99: 66¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2499.99: 54¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2539.99: 42¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2579.99: 30¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2619.99: 21¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2659.99: 14¢KXETHD-26OCT1617-T2699.99: 9¢closes 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z
shaded band: lognormal-cdf/v1 posterior, 95% credible — median $499, fitted 42m ago in 1.6s

Model minus market — where the fit disagrees

-1.1¢+0.0¢+1.1¢KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2399.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2404.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2409.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2474.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2494.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2499.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2504.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2509.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2514.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2689.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2699.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2704.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2709.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2714.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2719.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2724.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2729.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2734.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2739.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2744.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2749.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2754.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2759.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2769.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2774.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2779.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2784.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2789.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2794.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2799.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2804.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2809.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2814.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2819.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2824.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2829.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2834.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2839.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2844.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2849.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2854.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2859.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2864.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2869.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2874.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2879.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2884.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2889.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2894.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2899.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2904.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2909.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2914.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2919.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2924.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2929.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2934.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2939.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2944.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2949.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2954.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2959.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2964.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2969.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2974.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2979.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2984.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2989.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2994.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T2999.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3004.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3009.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3014.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3019.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3024.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3029.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3034.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3039.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3044.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3049.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3054.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3059.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3064.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3069.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3074.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3079.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3084.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3089.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3094.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3099.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3104.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3109.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3114.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3119.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3124.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3129.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3134.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3139.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3144.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3149.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3154.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3159.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3169.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3174.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3179.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3184.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3189.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3194.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3199.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3204.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3209.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3214.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3219.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3224.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3229.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3234.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3239.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)KXETHD-26OCT1015-T3244.99: market 50.0¢, model 50.0¢, edge +0.00¢ (P=1.00)$2,400$2,822$3,245green: model above market · opacity = posterior confidence

Busiest 25 of 150

MarketClosesBidAskLastVolumeUpdated
$2,500 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢2202026-10-10T19:48:23Z
$2,505 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 98¢100¢99¢3.1k2026-10-10T19:48:50Z
$2,510 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 87¢88¢88¢31.0k2026-10-10T19:49:29Z
$2,515 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 7¢10¢7¢22.4k2026-10-10T19:49:29Z
$2,520 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 0¢1¢1¢8.2k2026-10-10T19:49:13Z
$2,525 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 0¢2¢1¢2322026-10-10T19:46:20Z
$2,535 or above 2026-10-10T20:00:00Z 0¢1¢1¢1162026-10-10T19:46:18Z
$2,380 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 98¢100¢99¢3.6k2026-10-10T19:19:53Z
$2,420 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 99¢100¢99¢15.3k2026-10-10T18:06:08Z
$2,460 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 98¢100¢99¢12.9k2026-10-10T19:18:10Z
$2,500 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 95¢97¢96¢47.8k2026-10-10T19:48:19Z
$2,540 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 1¢5¢5¢58.1k2026-10-10T19:48:45Z
$2,580 or above 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z 0¢3¢6¢5.7k2026-10-10T19:47:39Z
$2,220 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 95¢99¢94¢952026-10-10T19:41:30Z
$2,260 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 96¢98¢97¢1.9k2026-10-10T18:02:57Z
$2,340 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 89¢92¢85¢792026-10-10T19:47:53Z
$2,380 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 85¢86¢81¢802026-10-10T19:49:16Z
$2,420 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 76¢77¢77¢2832026-10-10T19:49:04Z
$2,460 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 65¢66¢66¢7292026-10-10T19:49:15Z
$2,500 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 53¢54¢55¢2.4k2026-10-10T19:49:20Z
$2,540 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 41¢42¢43¢7502026-10-10T19:48:19Z
$2,580 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 30¢31¢30¢2.2k2026-10-10T19:48:17Z
$2,620 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 20¢22¢19¢1.2k2026-10-10T19:49:21Z
$2,660 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 12¢15¢16¢1.3k2026-10-10T19:47:53Z
$2,700 or above 2026-10-16T21:00:00Z 7¢11¢10¢2.1k2026-10-10T19:49:16Z

Series, events, markets

Kalshi nests three levels, and the middle one is easy to miss. Here it is in the series on this page.
KXETHDseriesthe recurring question — "Ethereum price Above/below". Has a title and a category, never settles.
KXETHD-26OCT1017eventone occurrence of it: a single expiration, this one closing 2026-10-10T21:00:00Z.
…-T2539.99marketone binary contract inside that event — "$2,540 or above". Only markets have a bid, an ask, a book and a settlement.
KXETHD is tracking 3 events averaging 50 markets each: a strike ladder per expiration. This dashboard subscribes per series, so a page can span several expirations at once — which is why every row shows its close time.